Who Will Win the 2021 NBA MVP Race? Top Contenders and Predictions
2025-11-12 11:00
As I sit here watching the latest NBA highlights, I can't help but feel the growing excitement about this year's MVP race. The 2021 season has been absolutely wild, with several players making compelling cases for why they deserve basketball's most prestigious individual honor. Having followed the NBA for over two decades, I've seen my fair share of MVP debates, but this year feels particularly special because we have multiple legitimate contenders who are putting up historic numbers while leading their teams to remarkable success.
When I think about what makes an MVP candidate truly special, I'm reminded of the legendary players from basketball history who defined excellence in their eras. The reference material mentioning King's remarkable career with Toyota, Great Taste, and Purefoods really resonates with me here. Winning 13 championships across different teams from 1977 to 1994 while establishing himself as one of the top defenders of his time – that's the kind of legacy that makes you think about what truly matters in MVP considerations. King probably never won an MVP award himself, given that he played before the modern NBA era, but his career exemplifies the combination of individual excellence and team success that we should value in today's MVP conversations. It's not just about putting up big numbers – it's about making your teammates better and contributing to winning basketball.
Right now, if you forced me to pick a frontrunner, I'd have to go with Nikola Jokic. The Serbian big man is having what might be the most efficient offensive season I've ever witnessed from a center. He's averaging around 26 points, 11 rebounds, and 8.5 assists while shooting an incredible 56% from the field and 41% from three-point range. Those numbers alone are mind-boggling, but what really sets Jokic apart in my view is how he's kept the Denver Nuggets competitive despite Jamal Murray's season-ending injury. I've never seen a center who can orchestrate an offense quite like Jokic – he sees passing lanes that most point guards miss, and his basketball IQ is off the charts. The way he controls the game's tempo reminds me of vintage Larry Bird, just with a completely different physical package.
Then we have Joel Embiid, who was absolutely dominating before his injury. The Philadelphia 76ers big man was putting up 29 points and 11 rebounds per game while playing elite-level defense. Embiid's case is fascinating because when he's on the court, the 76ers look like genuine title contenders, but when he sits, they struggle significantly. His impact metrics are through the roof, and he's developed into a more disciplined defender while maintaining his offensive versatility. I'll admit I'm slightly biased toward big men having significant MVP seasons – there's something special about watching a seven-footer completely control both ends of the floor. Embiid's foot injury might ultimately cost him the award, which would be a shame because he was having a career-defining season.
Stephen Curry has thrust himself back into the conversation with one of the most incredible scoring bursts I've seen in recent memory. The Warriors' superstar is averaging about 32 points per game while shooting 42% from three-point range on absurd volume – we're talking about 12 attempts per game! What Curry is doing at age 33 is simply remarkable. He's single-handedly keeping Golden State in playoff contention, and when he gets hot, there's literally no defense that can stop him. I've never seen a player who can change a game's outcome from 30 feet out like Curry can. His case suffers from the Warriors' mediocre record, but the sheer spectacle of his performances makes him impossible to ignore.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is the dark horse here, mostly because voter fatigue might work against him after he won back-to-back MVPs. But let's be real – the Greek Freak is still putting up monster numbers: 28 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists per game while playing his typically suffocating defense. He's led Milwaukee to the league's third-best record, and his two-way impact remains elite. Personally, I think Giannis might be the best overall player in the world right now, but the MVP award often has narrative elements that work against repeat winners unless they're having clearly superior seasons to their competitors.
The way I see it, the MVP race really comes down to how voters weigh different criteria. Do they value individual statistics most heavily? Team success? Narrative? Availability? If we're talking pure value to a team, Jokic probably has the strongest case because Denver would likely be fighting for a play-in spot without him. But if we're considering two-way impact and team record, Embiid and Giannis have compelling arguments. Curry's case rests largely on his historic offensive production and carrying an otherwise limited roster.
Looking at historical precedents like King's legendary career puts things in perspective for me. The fact that he won 13 championships across different teams from 1977 to 1994 while being recognized as one of the top defenders of his era shows that sustained excellence and winning matter most in the long run. Today's MVP candidates are building their own legacies, and this season will be remembered as one where multiple players had legitimate claims to the throne.
If I had a vote today, I'd probably lean toward Jokic, but this race is far from over. The final month of the season could dramatically shift the landscape, especially if Embiid returns strong from his injury or if Curry drags the Warriors to a higher seed. What makes this particular MVP conversation so engaging is that there's no clear wrong choice – each candidate brings something unique to the table, and basketball fans should appreciate witnessing such exceptional individual seasons unfold simultaneously.